Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 77.881296 87.343436 97.036084 107.676501 118.998936 130.658541 143.544123
2025-01-19 61.282134 74.608074 88.903333 105.253314 123.314779 142.545022 164.456675
2025-01-26 54.766105 70.643395 88.223180 108.876821 132.235156 157.612460 187.050771
2025-02-02 49.317436 67.022762 87.182759 111.416821 139.363641 170.225530 206.536409
2025-02-09 42.968758 61.623164 83.473033 110.334192 141.890988 177.273328 219.445174
2025-02-16 37.643706 56.918162 80.117713 109.241483 144.039438 183.588448 231.264514
2025-02-23 34.061379 54.032202 78.659829 110.141187 148.297332 192.154138 245.516690
2025-03-02 30.490433 50.835776 76.552694 110.022050 151.154704 198.944483 257.604639
2025-03-09 27.696171 48.420203 75.228422 110.693979 154.824371 206.585800 270.608138
2025-03-16 24.458394 45.120630 72.544789 109.474232 156.036341 211.195366 279.961983
2025-03-23 22.653094 43.682675 72.180969 111.097784 160.670285 219.843962 294.059324
2025-03-30 21.167695 42.581104 72.172040 113.104493 165.730209 228.978285 308.727779
2025-04-06 18.715759 39.867176 69.865119 112.059908 166.954956 233.500968 317.970648
2025-04-13 16.037436 36.555909 66.542988 109.521693 166.171066 235.489398 324.112093
2025-04-20 15.484555 36.587081 67.913357 113.242051 173.380662 247.310568 342.163312
2025-04-27 14.658603 36.093121 68.479407 115.842006 179.132497 257.332051 358.048153
2025-05-04 12.906454 33.869105 66.401989 114.733532 180.001257 261.237206 366.442319
2025-05-11 11.323013 31.771048 64.388977 113.614398 180.779133 264.973644 374.590947
2025-05-18 10.363347 30.705246 63.870341 114.535846 184.213677 272.030973 386.822775
2025-05-25 9.256805 29.243096 62.658902 114.413834 186.217528 277.253559 396.774520
2025-06-01 8.414273 28.202037 62.045555 115.101961 189.275658 283.799735 408.366392
2025-06-08 7.275551 26.415781 60.145339 113.852781 189.666596 286.904334 415.647880
2025-06-15 6.761270 25.888055 60.253404 115.515480 193.997118 295.058900 429.251908